Source: The National
Sunday 4 December 2022 22:11:05
Hyperinflation in Lebanon continued for the 28th consecutive month in October, with the Central Administration of Statistics' Consumer Price Index increasing by 186.4 per cent in the first 10 months of 2022 from the same period a year earlier.
Inflation rose to about 158.5 per cent in October from the same month a year earlier. The CPI increased about 14.6 per cent from September 2022.
The country is in the grip of an economic crisis described by the World Bank as one of the worst in modern history and has yet to implement critical structural and financial reforms required to unlock $3 billion of assistance from the International Monetary Fund.
Reforms hinge on the formation of a new government, the election of a new president and consensus among the country's political elite.
Lebanese politicians are deadlocked over the formation of a new Cabinet six months after parliamentary elections and six-year term of former president Michel Aoun expired at the end of October.
Political impasses have previously led to political vacuums in the country and stalled its economic progress. Lebanon was without a president for two and a half years until Mr Aoun's election by the 128-seat Parliament in 2016. His predecessor, Michel Sleiman, was elected in 2008 after the position had been vacant for 18 months.
Last month, the World Bank said the Lebanese pound's continued sharp depreciation continues to exacerbate inflationary pressures, while the country's financial sector is too big to be bailed out with its financial losses exceeding $72 billion, the equivalent of more than three times its gross domestic product in 2021.
In an interview with Al Hurra television last month, Central Bank Governor Riad Salameh said the exchange rate would change as of next February. The authority plans to devalue the pound officially to 15,000 to the US dollar, with the aim of unifying the country's multiple exchange rates and abandon the 25-year peg of 1,507 pounds to the greenback.
The World Bank projects Lebanon's real GDP will contract 5.4 per cent in 2022, assuming continued "political paralysis" and no implementation of an economic recovery strategy, it said.
This year's contraction follows the economy shrinking about 58 per cent between 2019 and 2021 — the largest among 193 countries, the Washington-based lender said in a report in January 2022.
The IMF reform programme for Lebanon is based on five key points: