Israeli Sources: Hezbollah’s Power Cut by 75%, Left With Ineffective Arsenal

Israeli military sources told Alhurra that Hezbollah’s military capacity has been reduced by about 75 percent, leaving the group with a stockpile of rockets and shells that they described as “largely ineffective” following repeated strikes on its command structure.

Lebanese and Israeli officials disclosed to Alhurra details of what they described as a complex but “indirect” coordination mechanism designed to prevent another  war. The channel, overseen by U.S. officers with support from French officers and UNIFIL, has existed in various forms since the 2006 ceasefire but has become significantly more effective since a truce was announced last November.

An Israeli military source said U.S. officers now play a central role from Israel’s Northern Command headquarters, acting as liaisons in passing sensitive information to the Lebanese side. Since the truce, the source said, hundreds of coordinates of Hezbollah sites and weapons depots have been shared.

According to Israeli officials, the Lebanese army, particularly its engineering units, has acted with “high efficiency” in handling the intelligence, dismantling and destroying sites within hours or days. This role, they said, has been critical in reducing the need for large-scale Israeli strikes inside Lebanon. However, they noted that Israel retains the right to intervene directly if the Lebanese military fails to respond “within a reasonable time.”

A Lebanese army source confirmed the mechanism is rooted in Resolution 1701, stressing that the two sides never communicate directly but only through intermediaries such as UNIFIL or the U.S.-French channel. The source said the army sometimes also receives tips from residents of southern Lebanon, who fear their homes or farmland could be destroyed in strikes if weapons are stored nearby.

But the Lebanese source downplayed Israeli estimates of the scale of Hezbollah’s losses, noting that many of the weapons seized are in poor condition, often damaged in tunnels, and dangerous to handle. Several Lebanese soldiers have been killed or injured while trying to move them.

The Lebanese army source said work south of the Litani River has reached an advanced stage toward creating a demilitarized zone, highlighting the effectiveness of the coordination mechanism in that area. But north of the Litani, the source acknowledged, the picture remains far less clear.

Even as the coordination channel functions, Israel has continued daily strikes on Hezbollah positions, killing on average one or more fighters each day and hitting what it considers “immediate threats.” Israeli sources said the campaign has crippled Hezbollah’s command-and-control network, making it difficult for the group to coordinate on the battlefield or fire rockets in salvos.

The sources said the strikes have reached into Hezbollah’s senior leadership, killing most of the previous command and even hitting newly appointed figures. They argued that this has effectively dismantled what Hezbollah had long promoted as a “balance of deterrence” with Israel.

Israeli military analyst Yossi Kuperwasser told Alhurra that Israel has “eliminated” more than 250 Hezbollah operatives since the ceasefire, most of them while attempting to redeploy south in violation of the agreement.

“The fact that we had to eliminate all these operatives tells you a lot about Hezbollah’s determination to rearm and redeploy in the south,” he said.

Israeli officials said the campaign extends beyond the battlefield, with strikes targeting Hezbollah-affiliated institutions such as the Al-Qard al-Hassan Association in a bid to cut off financial support. They also pointed to a sharp decline in smuggling through Syria, saying the “Iranian axis” that once connected Tehran to Beirut via Damascus has “virtually collapsed” since the fall of the Assad regime.

Despite these assessments, Israeli officials said the army remains on alert for any escalation.

“Anyone involved in military activity against Israel will be a legitimate target,” one source said, adding: “After Oct. 7, things will not be as they were before.”