Lebanon is the country worst hit by the food inflation crisis, as the country grapples with slow economic growth and soaring global commodity prices, which have been driven up by the war in Ukraine, the World Bank said in its latest report on global food insecurity.
Nominal food inflation in Lebanon hit 332 percent, while real food inflation — which refers to food inflation minus overall inflation — rose to 122 percent, according to the latest monthly data, the World Bank said.
Lebanon was followed by Zimbabwe, where nominal food inflation reached 255 percent, Venezuela (155 percent), Turkey (94 percent), and Iran (86 percent).
The figures are based on data from the latest month between March to June 2022 for which the food component of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and overall CPI data are available, the Washington-based lender said.
Overall, up to 93.8 percent of low-income countries, 89.1 percent of lower-middle-income countries, and 89 percent of upper-middle-income countries reported inflation levels above 5 percent, with many experiencing double-digit inflation.
The most affected countries are in Africa, North America, Latin America, South Asia, Europe, and Central Asia, the report said.
“The Middle East and North Africa rely heavily on the Black Sea region for its wheat consumption. As wheat is one of the key staple foods in the Mena, the disruption in the wheat supply chain is causing critical issues in food security in the region,” the lender said.
The food CPI has increased significantly in most countries in the region including Lebanon (216 percent), Egypt (24.2 percent), Morocco (9.5 percent), Iraq (7.6 percent), Syria (71 percent), Yemen (43 percent), and Palestine (8.1 percent as of May).
Before the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which began in late February, the two countries collectively supplied about 30 percent of the world's traded wheat and 15 percent of corn exports.
“The inability of Ukraine to export grain from its Black Sea ports has severely reduced the supply of food to import-dependent African and Middle Eastern countries. Before the war … Ukraine was a breadbasket — providing wheat, maize, and barley to countries throughout Asia, Africa, and the Middle East,” the lender said.
Net food and energy imports in the Middle East countries including Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, Morocco, and Tunisia account for between 4 percent and 17 percent of their gross domestic product, according to a recent S&P Global Ratings report.
While Egypt secured wheat for six months after its import agreement with India for 180,000 tonnes, “most other countries in the region are still facing a critical wheat shortage”, the World Bank said.