The United States and Israel have provided the Lebanese Army with intelligence indicating that members of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) currently present in Lebanon may be preparing security or military actions that could threaten domestic stability and disrupt Beirut’s efforts to restore security and implement international understandings, well-informed sources told Al-Markazia.

The reported warnings come as uncertainty grows over the possibility of a renewed escalation between Washington and Tehran, with Lebanon closely watching the potential role of Hezbollah should the regional confrontation intensify.

According to the sources, the alleged preparations by IRGC-linked elements could involve actions aimed at undermining the security environment and complicating the Lebanese state’s efforts to consolidate its authority. They said any such moves would risk derailing the political and security path pursued by Lebanon’s current leadership, which is seeking to strengthen state institutions and implement commitments reached with international partners.

The sources added that these possible developments could extend beyond a single area and potentially affect several Lebanese regions, depending on a final decision from Tehran.

One scenario being discussed, according to the sources, involves coordinated security operations in multiple locations — resembling what they described as a modified version of the events of May 7, 2008, but outside Beirut. The objective, they said, would be to create an atmosphere of instability and disrupt the ongoing political and security process.

The reports have renewed questions over Hezbollah’s position should Iran decide to activate its allies across the region. Lebanese officials and political observers are closely monitoring whether Hezbollah would once again join what some describe as a potential "support front" for Tehran, as it has done during previous regional crises.

Hezbollah has previously become involved in several major regional conflicts, including during the Syrian war and after the October 2023 outbreak of fighting between Israel and Hamas, when it opened a front along Lebanon’s southern border in support of Gaza. The group’s involvement in later Iran-Israel tensions also fueled concerns in Lebanon over the possibility of renewed conflict and its consequences for the country.

The sources said Hezbollah would likely struggle to reject any decision coming from Tehran, arguing that the group’s military decision-making remains closely linked to Iran’s IRGC and that its military leadership does not operate independently from Iranian strategic priorities.

As regional tensions persist, attention is also turning toward Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri and his potential role in maintaining internal stability. Political contacts have intensified between Lebanese and international actors seeking to prevent the country from being dragged into another confrontation.

Sources said the coming period could witness increased political engagement, including a possible visit by Berri to President Joseph Aoun at Baabda Palace. Such a meeting, if it takes place, could signal an effort to bridge political differences and strengthen coordination among Lebanon’s state institutions at a critical moment.