WSJ: Intelligence Shows Hezbollah Replenishing Arsenal Despite Ceasefire

Hezbollah is replenishing its arsenal and rebuilding its ranks, in apparent defiance of a ceasefire agreement with Israel, according to sources familiar with Israeli and Arab intelligence cited by The Wall Street Journal.

Intelligence indicates that the Iranian-backed group is restocking rockets, antitank missiles, and artillery. Some weapons are entering Lebanon through seaports and weakened but still operational smuggling routes via Syria, while others are reportedly being produced domestically, the sources said.

According to the report, the Lebanese government has made some headway in dismantling Hezbollah positions and weapons in southernmost Lebanon, areas long dominated by the group and heavily damaged during Israel’s campaign last year. These operations have often proceeded with Hezbollah’s tacit consent.

However, other regions with significant Hezbollah influence, including Beirut’s southern suburbs and the Bekaa Valley in eastern Lebanon, have seen little progress, amid stiff resistance from the militant group.

“The Lebanese military isn’t interested or ready to confront Hezbollah militarily,” said Randa Slim, a fellow at the Johns Hopkins University-based Foreign Policy Institute. “We are stuck in this gray area where the Lebanese government says it has taken the decision to disarm Hezbollah. They are implementing it south of the Litani. But there is nothing, no concrete plans, about what happens north of the Litani.”

Israel, which has supplied intelligence to assist the Lebanese army in disarming Hezbollah and has conducted over 1,000 air and ground strikes since the ceasefire was implemented, is reportedly frustrated.

“It was angered by the new intelligence findings and that the issue had shifted from disarmament to rearmament in just a few months,” one source said.

Lebanese officials, through Arab and American intermediaries, have urged Israel to exercise patience and signaled their willingness to increase intelligence sharing and coordination, despite the two countries remaining technically at war.

Arab intelligence sources say Hezbollah is returning to a more decentralized structure, similar to its operations in the 1980s and resembling shifts by Hamas in Gaza. Both groups have recruited new fighters to rebuild their ranks, but military leadership remains fragmented, the sources said.

“Hezbollah does not feel like it has been defeated,” Slim said. “It still thinks it can reconstitute, and it still has a regional supporter of the party in Iran.”