Thursday, November 3, 2022
Oil slid about 1% on Thursday as an increase in U.S. interest rates pushed up the dollar and heightened fears of a global recession that would crimp fuel demand.
Losses, however, were limited by concern over tight supply.
Brent futures fell 90 cents, or 0.9%, to $95.26 a barrel by 11:37 a.m. EDT (1537 GMT), while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell $1.26, or 1.4%, to $88.74.
Both benchmarks had gained more than $1 on Wednesday, aided by another drop in U.S. oil inventories, even as the U.S. Federal Reserve boosted interest rates by 75 basis points and Chair Jerome Powell said it was premature to consider pausing rate increases.
That sent the dollar higher on Thursday, with Powell indicating that U.S. rates are likely to peak above current investor expectations.
A strong dollar reduces demand for oil by making it more expensive for buyers using other currencies.
The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell last week, suggesting the labor market remains strong despite slowing domestic demand amid hefty interest rate hikes to tame inflation.
The United States is not the only country tightening policy.
The Bank of England raised interest rates by the most since 1989 but also warned Britain faced a long recession.
"Rising anxiety about stalling growth will inevitably impact global oil demand and another downward revision in the next set of forecasts is not a far-fetched idea," said PVM Oil analyst Tamas Varga.
In China, meanwhile, COVID-19 cases hit their highest in two and a half months after the health authority stuck by its strict containment policy, dampening investor hopes for an easing of curbs battering the world's number two economy.
In addition, China's natural gas consumption may post the first decline in 2022 in two decades amid a struggling economy, with demand this winter set to rise more modestly than in previous years, state energy officials said.
Chinese policymakers pledged on Wednesday that growth was still a priority.
Oil price losses, however, were limited by expectations the market is set to tighten in the coming months.
The European Union's embargo on Russian oil over its invasion of Ukraine is set to start on Dec. 5 and will be followed by a halt on oil product imports in February.
Lower output from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) also lent price support, with a Reuters survey finding the producer group's output fell in October for the first time since June.
OPEC and its allies including Russia, known collectively as OPEC+, decided in early October to cut targeted output by 2 million barrels per day from this month.